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Orlando at Minnesota
Fri Feb 3, 2023
8:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Orlando at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 5.5, Total Points: 229.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 51-33-0 | 42-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 10-6-0 | 10-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 33-21-0 | 27-25-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 27-13-0 | 20-21-2 | |
| Away | 24-20-0 | 22-19-0 |
Orlando Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | W by 30 | +25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Portland | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Atlanta | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.5 | L by 20 | -17.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 19 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Boston | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.0 | L by 28 | -26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 17 | -11.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | L by 20 | -22.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | New York | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Golden State | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Sacramento | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Okla City | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | New York | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Atlanta | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | L by 27 | -24.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | L by 26 | -22.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Okla City | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Utah | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | New York | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Indiana | (Pick) | L by 14 | -14.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 20 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Golden State | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/30 | Home | Memphis | -13.0 | W by 30 | +17.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 1 | -16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | L by 9 | -21.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 25 | +19.0 |
| 04/20 | Away | Cleveland | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 04/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| MIN -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1104 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 775 times (70.2%).
- The team like Orlando won the game 329 times (29.8%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 565-514-25 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 769 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Orlando did better against the spread, going 384-372-13 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/03 08:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:53 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/03 07:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:40 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 07:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:53 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 05:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 05:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 05:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 04:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 04:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 04:13 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 03:23 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 02:13 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 01:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 01:23 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 12:53 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/03 12:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 12:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 11:49 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 11:34 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 10:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 10:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 10:19 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 09:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 08:56 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 08:25 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 08:22 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 08:13 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/03 07:33 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/03 07:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:07 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 06:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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