NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL MIN
Points 101.0 106.7
Total Points   207.6
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 33.5
Points From Free Throws 19.7 19.1
Shooting ORL MIN
Field Goals Made 35.7 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 81.6 79.5
Field Goal % 43.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.1 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 19.7 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 24.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 77.6%
Ball Control ORL MIN
Rebounds 46.6 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.3
Turnovers 14.2 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.2
Steals 7.9 8.0
Fouls 19.7 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL MIN
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 94.1
% of Possessions with ORL MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 26.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.8%
Turnover 14.2% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL MIN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 21.1%