NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL GS
Points 109.6 110.5
Total Points   220.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 38.6
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.3
Shooting ORL GS
Field Goals Made 39.5 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 85.8
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 20.9
Free Throw % 75.6% 77.7%
Ball Control ORL GS
Rebounds 48.0 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.7
Turnovers 12.7 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.3
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 16.9 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL GS
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 98.3
% of Possessions with ORL GS
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 16.7%
Turnover 12.5% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL GS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 24.8%