NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL CHI
Points 116.6 112.1
Total Points   228.6
Points From 2-Pointers 51.2 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 47.4 35.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 17.1
Shooting DAL CHI
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 90.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 42.3 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 18.0 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.5
Free Throw % 75.4% 79.2%
Ball Control DAL CHI
Rebounds 49.1 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.6
Turnovers 11.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.9
Steals 5.6 7.1
Fouls 16.5 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL CHI
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 103.4
% of Possessions with DAL CHI
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.3% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 16.3%
Turnover 11.5% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL CHI
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 24.5%