NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MEM
Points 117.3 106.4
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 49.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 40.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.9
Shooting DAL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.4 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 89.2
Field Goal % 48.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 22.1
Free Throw % 75.6% 76.6%
Ball Control DAL MEM
Rebounds 51.2 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.1
Turnovers 12.8 13.7
Blocked Shots 6.4 4.8
Steals 6.7 7.5
Fouls 16.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MEM
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 101.9
% of Possessions with DAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 31.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.3%
Turnover 12.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.5%