NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MEM
Points 118.5 107.7
Total Points   226.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 41.0
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.7
Shooting DAL MEM
Field Goals Made 43.0 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 88.0
Field Goal % 48.9% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.0 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 23.3
Free Throw % 75.9% 75.8%
Ball Control DAL MEM
Rebounds 51.0 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.5
Turnovers 12.4 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.7
Steals 6.9 7.1
Fouls 17.5 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MEM
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 101.6
% of Possessions with DAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 33.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.0%
Turnover 12.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.9%