NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL ATL
Points 126.2 119.5
Total Points   245.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.2 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 47.1 42.2
Points From Free Throws 17.9 20.2
Shooting DAL ATL
Field Goals Made 46.3 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 92.4
Field Goal % 51.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 49.8 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.4% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.7 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 17.9 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 25.3
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.7%
Ball Control DAL ATL
Rebounds 48.4 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 14.7
Turnovers 11.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.6
Steals 6.1 6.6
Fouls 17.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL ATL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 107.3
% of Possessions with DAL ATL
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 31.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 16.6%
Turnover 11.1% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL ATL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.1%