NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL ATL
Points 124.3 116.0
Total Points   240.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.2 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 46.3 41.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.6
Shooting DAL ATL
Field Goals Made 45.5 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 92.2
Field Goal % 51.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 15.4 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.8
Free Throw % 75.4% 78.3%
Ball Control DAL ATL
Rebounds 49.2 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 13.9
Turnovers 11.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.5
Steals 6.3 6.6
Fouls 17.0 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL ATL
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 106.0
% of Possessions with DAL ATL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 31.0%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.4%
Turnover 11.3% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL ATL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.3%