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Dallas at Miami
Tue May 4, 2021
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Dallas at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dallas by 1, Total Points: 215.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 49-35-0 | 43-41-2 | |
| vs Division | 10-6-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 33-21-0 | 29-25-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 21-20-0 | 17-25-0 | |
| Away | 28-15-0 | 26-16-2 |
Dallas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Denver | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 11 | -15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Washington | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Okla City | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Utah | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Denver | +8.0 | L by 26 | -18.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Utah | -4.5 | L by 37 | -41.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Portland | -10.5 | W by 29 | +18.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Portland | -7.0 | W by 36 | +29.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Memphis | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | New York | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | L by 17 | -14.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Boston | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 23 | -20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Orlando | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 34 | -21.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | W by 35 | +36.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Washington | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Indiana | -2.0 | L by 22 | -24.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 35 | +31.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Golden State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Away | Okla City | +9.5 | L by 7 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 36 | +37.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Sacramento | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Golden State | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | W by 19 | +16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | L by 18 | -29.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Okla City | +19.5 | L by 49 | -29.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| DAL -1.0 | Open | +3.5 | High | -1.0 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 532 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Dallas won the game 279 times (52.4%).
- The team like Miami won the game 253 times (47.6%).
- The team like Dallas did better against the spread, going 263-261-8 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 14-11 (56.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | +1.0 |
| Open | +3.0 | +3.0 | +4.0 |
| History | |||
| 05/04 08:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 08:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 05/04 07:55 PM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 05/04 07:52 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 07:44 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 05/04 07:34 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 05/04 07:26 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 07:19 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 07:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 05/04 06:55 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 06:55 PM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 05/04 06:54 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 05/04 06:40 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 06:34 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 05/04 06:25 PM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 05/04 06:19 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 05:52 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 05:25 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 01:10 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 12:44 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 05/04 12:43 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 12:35 PM | -- | -- | +3.5 |
| 05/04 12:07 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 11:58 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 11:44 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 11:13 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 11:04 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 10:43 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 10:04 AM | +3.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/04 09:54 AM | -- | +3.0 | -- |
| 05/04 09:15 AM | -- | -- | +3.0 |
| 05/04 08:55 AM | -- | -- | +4.0 |
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