NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL CHA
Points 118.4 106.2
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.9 37.7
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.9
Shooting DAL CHA
Field Goals Made 43.6 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 87.7
Field Goal % 50.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.3 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.9 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 18.8
Free Throw % 75.4% 78.9%
Ball Control DAL CHA
Rebounds 50.7 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.0
Turnovers 11.7 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.4
Steals 5.9 6.3
Fouls 15.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL CHA
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 98.5
% of Possessions with DAL CHA
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 30.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 15.6%
Turnover 11.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 20.0%