NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL UTA
Points 126.4 118.0
Total Points   244.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 58.2
Points From 3-Pointers 49.2 39.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 20.3
Shooting DAL UTA
Field Goals Made 46.1 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 90.3
Field Goal % 50.4% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 16.4 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 40.7 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 24.3
Free Throw % 75.9% 83.8%
Ball Control DAL UTA
Rebounds 46.4 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 14.0
Turnovers 10.0 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.2
Steals 6.9 5.6
Fouls 17.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL UTA
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 104.5
% of Possessions with DAL UTA
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.6%
Turnover 9.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL UTA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 28.2%