NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL UTA
Points 124.3 115.1
Total Points   239.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 48.8 38.9
Points From Free Throws 17.4 19.6
Shooting DAL UTA
Field Goals Made 45.3 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.0 90.0
Field Goal % 49.8% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 16.3 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 23.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 83.7%
Ball Control DAL UTA
Rebounds 47.4 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.8
Turnovers 10.3 13.7
Blocked Shots 6.5 4.2
Steals 7.0 5.7
Fouls 16.8 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL UTA
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 103.5
% of Possessions with DAL UTA
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 30.2%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.2%
Turnover 9.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL UTA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 27.6%