NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL SAC
Points 115.4 115.1
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 43.0
Points From Free Throws 18.6 16.0
Shooting DAL SAC
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 91.2
Field Goal % 48.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.7 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 18.6 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 21.5
Free Throw % 75.4% 74.6%
Ball Control DAL SAC
Rebounds 48.2 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.8
Turnovers 11.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.5
Steals 6.0 7.1
Fouls 16.4 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL SAC
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 104.0
% of Possessions with DAL SAC
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 33.0%
Player Fouled 19.3% 16.0%
Turnover 11.6% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL SAC
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.8%