NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL ORL
Points 112.1 111.1
Total Points   223.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 34.1
Points From Free Throws 18.4 19.4
Shooting DAL ORL
Field Goals Made 40.6 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 85.1
Field Goal % 48.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 18.4 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 26.0
Free Throw % 75.9% 74.6%
Ball Control DAL ORL
Rebounds 45.0 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 12.7
Turnovers 12.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.9
Steals 6.8 7.3
Fouls 18.8 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL ORL
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 98.2 100.8
% of Possessions with DAL ORL
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 27.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.5%
Turnover 12.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL ORL
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 26.2%