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Dallas at Orlando
Mon Mar 1, 2021
7:00pm ET
Orlando, FL
Dallas at Orlando: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dallas by 7, Total Points: 220
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 48-34-0 | 51-31-0 | |
| vs Division | 10-6-0 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 32-20-0 | 33-19-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 21-20-0 | 27-13-0 | |
| Away | 27-14-0 | 24-18-0 |
Dallas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Denver | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 11 | -15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Washington | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Okla City | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Utah | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Denver | +8.0 | L by 26 | -18.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Utah | -4.5 | L by 37 | -41.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Portland | -10.5 | W by 29 | +18.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Portland | -7.0 | W by 36 | +29.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Memphis | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | New York | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | L by 17 | -14.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Boston | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 23 | -20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Orlando | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 34 | -21.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | W by 35 | +36.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Washington | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Indiana | -2.0 | L by 22 | -24.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 35 | +31.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Golden State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Away | Okla City | +9.5 | L by 7 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 36 | +37.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Sacramento | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Golden State | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | W by 19 | +16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | L by 18 | -29.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Okla City | +19.5 | L by 49 | -29.5 |
Orlando Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | W by 30 | +25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Portland | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Atlanta | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.5 | L by 20 | -17.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 19 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Boston | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.0 | L by 28 | -26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 17 | -11.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | L by 20 | -22.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | New York | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Golden State | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Sacramento | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Okla City | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | New York | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Atlanta | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | L by 27 | -24.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | L by 26 | -22.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Okla City | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Utah | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | New York | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Indiana | (Pick) | L by 14 | -14.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 20 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Golden State | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/30 | Home | Memphis | -13.0 | W by 30 | +17.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 1 | -16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | L by 9 | -21.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 25 | +19.0 |
| DAL -7.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 534 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dallas won the game 373 times (69.9%).
- The team like Orlando won the game 161 times (30.1%).
- The team like Dallas did better against the spread, going 274-254-6 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 107 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dallas went 53-53-1 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| Open | -6.5 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/01 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/01 07:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/01 06:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/01 06:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/01 05:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/01 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/01 05:35 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:28 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:53 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:17 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 03:47 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 03:17 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 03:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:47 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/01 02:38 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/01 02:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 01:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 12:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/01 11:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/01 11:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/01 11:11 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/01 10:59 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 09:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/01 09:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/01 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/01 09:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 09:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:38 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/01 07:44 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 07:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 07:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:34 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 06:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:44 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:01 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 12:01 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 02/28 05:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 04:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 04:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/28 04:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 04:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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