NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL ORL
Points 110.1 108.0
Total Points   218.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 33.5
Points From Free Throws 18.1 19.0
Shooting DAL ORL
Field Goals Made 39.7 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.4 85.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 18.1 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 25.1
Free Throw % 75.4% 75.6%
Ball Control DAL ORL
Rebounds 46.5 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.3
Turnovers 13.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.0
Steals 6.8 7.6
Fouls 18.6 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL ORL
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 100.2
% of Possessions with DAL ORL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 27.3%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.4%
Turnover 12.9% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL ORL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 24.9%