NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL IND
Points 121.3 121.4
Total Points   242.7
Points From 2-Pointers 66.4 66.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 38.4
Points From Free Throws 20.8 16.8
Shooting DAL IND
Field Goals Made 44.6 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 92.7
Field Goal % 50.3% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 33.1
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 20.8 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 21.5
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.0%
Ball Control DAL IND
Rebounds 48.8 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.4
Turnovers 11.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 5.4 6.8
Fouls 16.7 21.1

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL IND
Total Possessions 105.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 105.0
% of Possessions with DAL IND
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.1% 15.9%
Turnover 11.2% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL IND
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.4%