NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL NO
Points 112.7 112.7
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.5 36.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 17.7
Shooting DAL NO
Field Goals Made 40.6 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 88.1
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 55.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 41.7 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.8
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.6%
Ball Control DAL NO
Rebounds 47.3 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.8
Turnovers 12.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.6
Steals 5.5 7.3
Fouls 16.3 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL NO
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 101.3
% of Possessions with DAL NO
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.1%
Turnover 11.9% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL NO
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 24.1%