NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL DET
Points 121.6 109.5
Total Points   231.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.7 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 34.4
Points From Free Throws 19.1 17.7
Shooting DAL DET
Field Goals Made 44.6 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 88.9
Field Goal % 50.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.4 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.8 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 19.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 22.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.3%
Ball Control DAL DET
Rebounds 48.7 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.8
Turnovers 10.9 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.6
Steals 7.2 6.1
Fouls 15.7 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL DET
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 101.9
% of Possessions with DAL DET
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 19.3% 15.2%
Turnover 10.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL DET
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.2%