NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL SA
Points 118.2 112.1
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 62.1 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 38.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 15.8
Shooting DAL SA
Field Goals Made 44.5 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 90.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 20.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 77.6%
Ball Control DAL SA
Rebounds 50.0 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.9
Steals 7.3 6.4
Fouls 15.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL SA
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 103.0
% of Possessions with DAL SA
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 30.5%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.1%
Turnover 10.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL SA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.2%