NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL PHO
Points 114.3 115.1
Total Points   229.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 43.2 38.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 18.8
Shooting DAL PHO
Field Goals Made 41.6 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 86.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 80.7%
Ball Control DAL PHO
Rebounds 46.8 51.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.5
Turnovers 10.7 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.4
Steals 6.9 6.6
Fouls 17.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL PHO
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 100.4
% of Possessions with DAL PHO
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 28.4%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.9%
Turnover 10.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL PHO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 24.4%