NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL PHO
Points 114.4 115.4
Total Points   229.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 43.5 38.1
Points From Free Throws 16.3 18.9
Shooting DAL PHO
Field Goals Made 41.8 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 86.8
Field Goal % 46.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.8 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 16.3 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 80.7%
Ball Control DAL PHO
Rebounds 46.7 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.6
Turnovers 10.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.4
Steals 6.9 6.6
Fouls 17.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL PHO
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 100.7
% of Possessions with DAL PHO
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 28.4%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.8%
Turnover 10.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL PHO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 24.6%