NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL PHO
Points 116.5 116.7
Total Points   233.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.0 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 37.5
Points From Free Throws 17.1 19.6
Shooting DAL PHO
Field Goals Made 42.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 86.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 24.6
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.6%
Ball Control DAL PHO
Rebounds 46.4 52.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.9
Turnovers 10.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.3
Steals 7.1 6.2
Fouls 17.7 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL PHO
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 101.4
% of Possessions with DAL PHO
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.1% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.2% 17.2%
Turnover 9.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL PHO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 25.5%