NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL OKC
Points 113.3 118.5
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 50.7 60.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 40.0
Points From Free Throws 18.3 18.1
Shooting DAL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 89.7
Field Goal % 45.4% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 25.3 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 40.4 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 18.3 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 22.0
Free Throw % 75.4% 82.2%
Ball Control DAL OKC
Rebounds 49.7 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.1
Turnovers 13.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.1
Steals 6.0 7.5
Fouls 17.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL OKC
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 102.1
% of Possessions with DAL OKC
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 29.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 16.6%
Turnover 12.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL OKC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 21.2%