NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL POR
Points 121.4 110.2
Total Points   231.7
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 35.7
Points From Free Throws 19.5 17.9
Shooting DAL POR
Field Goals Made 44.5 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 90.1
Field Goal % 51.4% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 62.7% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 19.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 22.5
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.7%
Ball Control DAL POR
Rebounds 48.6 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 14.3
Turnovers 11.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.5
Steals 7.3 6.7
Fouls 16.2 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL POR
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 103.4
% of Possessions with DAL POR
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 15.8%
Turnover 11.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL POR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 27.7%