NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL GS
Points 116.9 117.0
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 44.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.8
Shooting DAL GS
Field Goals Made 42.3 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 92.1
Field Goal % 47.0% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.1 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 20.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 77.7%
Ball Control DAL GS
Rebounds 48.4 53.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.7
Turnovers 10.9 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.8
Steals 6.2 6.2
Fouls 15.5 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL GS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 104.2
% of Possessions with DAL GS
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.3% 32.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 15.0%
Turnover 10.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL GS
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 26.9%