NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL GS
Points 116.7 116.6
Total Points   233.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.9 44.4
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.8
Shooting DAL GS
Field Goals Made 42.1 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 92.2
Field Goal % 46.9% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 49.0 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.7%
Ball Control DAL GS
Rebounds 48.6 53.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.8
Turnovers 10.9 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.8
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 15.6 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL GS
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 104.3
% of Possessions with DAL GS
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 15.1%
Turnover 10.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL GS
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 27.0%