NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK CHI
Points 113.7 110.6
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 37.1
Points From Free Throws 20.3 15.3
Shooting BK CHI
Field Goals Made 40.6 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 92.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 48.4 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 20.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 20.4
Free Throw % 74.5% 74.9%
Ball Control BK CHI
Rebounds 53.0 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.5
Turnovers 16.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.6
Steals 6.2 8.5
Fouls 17.4 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK CHI
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 104.6
% of Possessions with BK CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 16.6%
Turnover 15.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.3%