NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK CHI
Points 110.3 112.5
Total Points   222.8
Points From 2-Pointers 49.3 60.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 35.0
Points From Free Throws 17.1 16.6
Shooting BK CHI
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 89.6
Field Goal % 45.3% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.6 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 57.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 40.5 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 79.2%
Ball Control BK CHI
Rebounds 49.5 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.2
Turnovers 12.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.7
Steals 5.6 6.4
Fouls 16.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK CHI
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 101.7
% of Possessions with BK CHI
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.7%
Turnover 12.1% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK CHI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 24.7%