NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK BOS
Points 105.7 119.3
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 48.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.9
Shooting BK BOS
Field Goals Made 39.5 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 89.1
Field Goal % 42.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 47.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 16.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.4 41.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 20.9
Free Throw % 76.5% 80.8%
Ball Control BK BOS
Rebounds 49.8 53.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 42.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 11.9
Turnovers 10.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.7
Steals 5.2 5.5
Fouls 16.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK BOS
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 101.5
% of Possessions with BK BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 36.3%
Player Fouled 14.2% 16.0%
Turnover 10.5% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.7%