NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK BOS
Points 104.5 118.8
Total Points   223.3
Points From 2-Pointers 50.1 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 49.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.5
Shooting BK BOS
Field Goals Made 38.8 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.1 89.7
Field Goal % 41.7% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.1 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 16.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 41.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 79.1%
Ball Control BK BOS
Rebounds 50.2 53.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 42.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 11.9
Turnovers 10.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.3
Steals 5.1 5.8
Fouls 15.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK BOS
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 101.3
% of Possessions with BK BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 37.1%
Player Fouled 14.2% 15.3%
Turnover 10.7% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK BOS
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.5%