NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK ATL
Points 117.7 116.2
Total Points   233.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 41.2
Points From Free Throws 16.9 18.1
Shooting BK ATL
Field Goals Made 43.2 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 91.0
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 37.5 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 16.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 23.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.3%
Ball Control BK ATL
Rebounds 49.9 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 13.5
Turnovers 12.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 17.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK ATL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 104.3
% of Possessions with BK ATL
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 31.3%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK ATL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.4%