NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK ATL
Points 118.1 117.7
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 43.9 40.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 19.0
Shooting BK ATL
Field Goals Made 43.4 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 91.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.8 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 24.0
Free Throw % 76.5% 79.2%
Ball Control BK ATL
Rebounds 49.5 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 14.1
Turnovers 12.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.3
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 17.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK ATL
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 105.1
% of Possessions with BK ATL
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 30.6%
Player Fouled 15.9% 16.9%
Turnover 12.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK ATL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 27.6%