NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK NY
Points 106.5 111.6
Total Points   218.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.4 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 39.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 17.0
Shooting BK NY
Field Goals Made 39.2 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 88.4
Field Goal % 45.0% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.0 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 78.1%
Ball Control BK NY
Rebounds 47.3 52.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 14.8
Turnovers 11.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.1
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 16.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK NY
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 101.4
% of Possessions with BK NY
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.9%
Turnover 11.8% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK NY
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 29.6%