NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK ORL
Points 103.9 109.1
Total Points   213.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 33.6
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.3
Shooting BK ORL
Field Goals Made 37.6 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 84.3
Field Goal % 44.9% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.9%
Ball Control BK ORL
Rebounds 46.5 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 11.9
Turnovers 13.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.9
Steals 6.7 6.9
Fouls 18.6 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK ORL
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 96.8 98.6
% of Possessions with BK ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 27.5%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.7%
Turnover 13.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK ORL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.0%