NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DAL
Points 109.5 116.0
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 42.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.8
Shooting BK DAL
Field Goals Made 39.7 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 88.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.6%
Ball Control BK DAL
Rebounds 51.1 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.7
Turnovers 11.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.9
Steals 6.1 5.6
Fouls 18.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DAL
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 101.4
% of Possessions with BK DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 33.7%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.0%
Turnover 11.7% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 22.0%