NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DEN
Points 106.0 114.7
Total Points   220.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 35.2
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.4
Shooting BK DEN
Field Goals Made 38.6 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 88.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 20.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.4%
Ball Control BK DEN
Rebounds 48.6 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 12.0
Turnovers 10.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 16.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DEN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 100.5
% of Possessions with BK DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.4%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.2%
Turnover 10.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DEN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 25.4%