NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DEN
Points 107.0 114.2
Total Points   221.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 64.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 33.6
Points From Free Throws 17.0 16.0
Shooting BK DEN
Field Goals Made 39.2 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 88.0
Field Goal % 43.9% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 21.0
Free Throw % 76.2% 76.5%
Ball Control BK DEN
Rebounds 48.3 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.8
Turnovers 10.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.1
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 16.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DEN
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.2
% of Possessions with BK DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.6%
Turnover 10.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DEN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 25.2%