NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK IND
Points 113.6 120.8
Total Points   234.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 66.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.9 38.1
Points From Free Throws 19.8 16.1
Shooting BK IND
Field Goals Made 41.5 46.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 91.3
Field Goal % 46.7% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 33.3
2 Pointers Attempted 58.8 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 19.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 20.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 77.6%
Ball Control BK IND
Rebounds 49.7 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 11.1
Turnovers 12.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.8
Steals 5.4 6.2
Fouls 16.7 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK IND
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 103.0
% of Possessions with BK IND
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.2%
Turnover 11.8% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK IND
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.5%