NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK SA
Points 110.9 111.9
Total Points   222.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.2 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 38.3
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.4
Shooting BK SA
Field Goals Made 41.6 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 92.2 89.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 19.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 77.6%
Ball Control BK SA
Rebounds 50.8 51.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.6
Turnovers 11.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 6.0
Steals 7.3 5.9
Fouls 15.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK SA
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 101.3
% of Possessions with BK SA
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 30.7%
Player Fouled 14.6% 15.5%
Turnover 11.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK SA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 23.4%