NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK WAS
Points 117.6 112.5
Total Points   230.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 59.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 37.5
Points From Free Throws 18.6 15.5
Shooting BK WAS
Field Goals Made 43.5 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 90.5
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 20.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.8%
Ball Control BK WAS
Rebounds 54.2 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 10.1
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.7
Steals 6.6 6.1
Fouls 16.3 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK WAS
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 105.7 101.6
% of Possessions with BK WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 17.2% 15.7%
Turnover 11.6% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK WAS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 20.0%