NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHI
Points 113.9 109.1
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 63.8 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 31.7
Points From Free Throws 17.2 20.3
Shooting DEN PHI
Field Goals Made 42.9 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 89.1
Field Goal % 49.1% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 58.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 17.2 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.8
Free Throw % 76.4% 81.9%
Ball Control DEN PHI
Rebounds 51.4 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 13.2
Turnovers 12.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.7
Steals 5.3 6.8
Fouls 16.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHI
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 102.7
% of Possessions with DEN PHI
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 26.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.1%
Turnover 12.1% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 25.5%