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Denver at Philadelphia
Sat Jan 28, 2023
3:00pm ET
Philadelphia, PA
Denver at Philadelphia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Philadelphia by 3, Total Points: 231.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | PHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-43-2 | 49-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-10-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-30-1 | 31-24-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 22-20-1 | 24-18-0 | |
| Away | 17-23-1 | 25-18-0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
Philadelphia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Toronto | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Portland | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | Toronto | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Phoenix | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Washington | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Boston | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Detroit | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Boston | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Atlanta | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 22 | +18.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Cleveland | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Okla City | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 44 | +38.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | New Orleans | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Boston | +12.0 | L by 6 | +6.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 45 | +31.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 18 | +6.0 |
| 12/15 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 32 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 53 | +41.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Chicago | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | New York | -5.5 | L by 36 | -41.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Utah | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Atlanta | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Sacramento | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Houston | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Orlando | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | San Antonio | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Denver | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Portland | -5.0 | L by 26 | -31.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Utah | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Dallas | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Atlanta | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Washington | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Cleveland | +11.0 | W by 2 | +13.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | New York | -1.5 | L by 14 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Boston | +11.5 | L by 18 | -6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 7 | -5.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Dallas | +7.5 | W by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Memphis | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | New Orleans | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | New York | +7.0 | W by 6 | +13.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | New York | +6.0 | L by 27 | -21.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Charlotte | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | LA Lakers | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.0 | W by 14 | +23.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Cleveland | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | Miami | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 04/06 | Away | Memphis | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 18 | +3.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 04/17 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 04/22 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| PHI -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1044 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Philadelphia won the game 577 times (55.3%).
- The team like Denver won the game 467 times (44.7%).
- The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 521-502-21 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 460 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Philadelphia did better against the spread, going 235-216-9 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 03:13 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 03:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 03:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 03:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 02:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:23 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 02:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:13 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/28 02:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/28 01:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:23 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 01:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:03 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:43 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:33 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:13 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:13 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 11:41 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:57 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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