NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHI
Points 113.7 108.6
Total Points   222.3
Points From 2-Pointers 63.5 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 31.9
Points From Free Throws 17.2 20.0
Shooting DEN PHI
Field Goals Made 42.8 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 88.7
Field Goal % 48.8% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.8 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 17.2 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 24.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 81.9%
Ball Control DEN PHI
Rebounds 51.7 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.9
Turnovers 11.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.6
Steals 5.3 6.6
Fouls 16.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHI
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 102.1
% of Possessions with DEN PHI
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.2%
Turnover 11.8% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.0%