ATS Situational Trends

Record DEN adv MIL
Season 32-34-0 31-36-0
vs Division 4-5-0 8-2-0
vs Conference 16-23-0 21-17-0
Streak W1 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 16-19-0 17-17-0
Away 16-15-0 14-19-0

Denver Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
12/23 Home Sacramento -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
12/25 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
12/28 Home Houston -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
12/29 Away Sacramento +1.0 L by 10 -9.0
01/01 Home Phoenix -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
01/03 Away Minnesota -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
01/05 Home Minnesota -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
01/07 Home Dallas -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
01/09 Away Philadelphia -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
01/10 Away New York -5.5 W by 25 +19.5
01/12 Away Brooklyn +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
01/14 Home Golden State -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
01/17 Home Utah +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
01/19 Home Okla City -10.0 W by 18 +8.0
01/22 Away Phoenix +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/23 Away Phoenix -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
01/25 Away Dallas -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/27 Away Miami -6.0 W by 27 +21.0
01/29 Away San Antonio -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
01/31 Home Utah +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
02/04 Away LA Lakers +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
02/06 Away Sacramento -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/08 Home Milwaukee +2.0 L by 13 -11.0
02/10 Home Cleveland -9.5 W by 38 +28.5
02/12 Home Okla City -11.5 W by 2 -9.5
02/14 Home LA Lakers +3.0 W by 17 +20.0
02/16 Away Boston +2.0 L by 13 -11.0
02/17 Away Washington -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
02/19 Away Cleveland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
02/21 Away Atlanta -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
02/23 Home Portland -6.0 W by 5 -1.0
02/25 Home Washington -8.0 L by 2 -10.0
02/27 Away Okla City -6.5 W by 30 +23.5
03/01 Away Chicago -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
03/02 Away Milwaukee +8.0 W by 31 +39.0
03/04 Away Indiana -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
03/12 Away Memphis -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/13 Home Dallas -1.0 L by 13 -14.0
03/15 Home Indiana -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
03/17 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 25 +18.5
03/19 Home Chicago -7.0 W by 4 -3.0
03/21 Home New Orleans -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
03/23 Away Orlando -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
03/24 Away Toronto -1.5 L by 24 -25.5
03/26 Away New Orleans -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
03/28 Home Atlanta -5.0 W by 24 +19.0
03/30 Home Philadelphia -5.0 W by 9 +4.0
04/01 Away LA Clippers +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
04/04 Home Orlando -17.5 W by 10 -7.5
04/06 Home Detroit -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
04/07 Home San Antonio -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
04/09 Home San Antonio -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
04/11 Home Boston -3.5 L by 18 -21.5
04/12 Away Golden State -5.0 L by 9 -14.0
04/14 Home Miami -5.0 W by 17 +12.0
04/16 Away Houston -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
04/19 Home Memphis -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
04/21 Away Portland -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
04/23 Away Golden State -2.5 L by 21 -23.5
04/24 Home Houston -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
04/26 Home Memphis -4.0 W by 24 +20.0
04/28 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
04/29 Home Toronto -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
05/01 Away LA Clippers +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
05/03 Away LA Lakers -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
05/05 Home New York -3.5 W by 16 +12.5

Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
12/23 Away Boston -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
12/25 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 39 +29.5
12/27 Away New York -13.0 L by 20 -33.0
12/29 Away Miami -6.0 W by 47 +41.0
12/30 Away Miami -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
01/01 Home Chicago -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
01/04 Home Detroit -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/06 Home Detroit -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
01/08 Home Utah -5.5 L by 13 -18.5
01/09 Home Cleveland -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
01/11 Away Orlando -10.0 W by 22 +12.0
01/13 Away Detroit -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
01/15 Home Dallas -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
01/18 Away Brooklyn -4.0 L by 2 -6.0
01/21 Home LA Lakers -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
01/24 Home Atlanta -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
01/27 Away Toronto -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/29 Away New Orleans -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/30 Away Charlotte -9.5 L by 12 -21.5
02/01 Home Portland -10.0 W by 28 +18.0
02/03 Home Indiana -9.0 W by 20 +11.0
02/05 Away Cleveland -11.0 W by 18 +7.0
02/06 Away Cleveland -10.0 W by 25 +15.0
02/08 Away Denver -2.0 W by 13 +11.0
02/10 Away Phoenix -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
02/12 Away Utah +2.5 L by 14 -11.5
02/14 Away Okla City -11.5 L by 5 -16.5
02/16 Home Toronto -6.0 L by 11 -17.0
02/18 Home Toronto -7.5 L by 14 -21.5
02/19 Home Okla City -11.0 W by 13 +2.0
02/21 Home Sacramento -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
02/23 Home Minnesota -10.0 W by 27 +17.0
02/25 Home New Orleans -8.0 W by 4 -4.0
02/28 Home LA Clippers -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
03/02 Home Denver -8.0 L by 31 -39.0
03/04 Away Memphis -6.0 W by 1 -5.0
03/11 Home New York -11.0 W by 33 +22.0
03/13 Away Washington -13.0 W by 6 -7.0
03/15 Away Washington -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
03/17 Away Philadelphia -6.0 W by 4 -2.0
03/20 Home San Antonio -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
03/22 Home Indiana -7.0 W by 27 +20.0
03/24 Home Boston -7.0 W by 2 -5.0
03/26 Home Boston -6.0 L by 8 -14.0
03/27 Home New York +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/29 Away LA Clippers -2.0 L by 24 -26.0
03/31 Away LA Lakers -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
04/02 Away Portland -3.0 W by 18 +15.0
04/03 Away Sacramento -3.0 W by 1 -2.0
04/06 Away Golden State -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
04/08 Away Dallas +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
04/09 Home Charlotte +3.0 L by 8 -5.0
04/11 Away Orlando -9.0 W by 37 +28.0
04/14 Away Minnesota -10.0 W by 25 +15.0
04/15 Away Atlanta -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
04/17 Home Memphis -8.5 L by 13 -21.5
04/19 Home Phoenix -3.0 L by 1 -4.0
04/22 Home Philadelphia -6.0 W by 7 +1.0
04/24 Home Philadelphia -8.5 W by 38 +29.5
04/25 Away Atlanta -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
04/27 Away Charlotte -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
04/29 Away Houston -14.5 L by 7 -21.5
04/30 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
05/02 Home Brooklyn -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
05/04 Home Brooklyn -3.0 W by 6 +3.0
05/05 Home Washington -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
05/07 Home Houston -17.5 W by 8 -9.5
MIL -8.0 Open -6.5 High -8.0
Last -7.5 Low -6.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 847 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:

  • The team like Milwaukee won the game 627 times (74.0%).
  • The team like Denver won the game 220 times (26.0%).
  • The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 414-410-23 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 57 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 35-22 (61.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -8.0 -7.5 -8.0
Open -6.5 -6.5 -7.0
History
03/02 09:15 PM -- -7.5 --
03/02 09:07 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 08:58 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 08:47 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 08:28 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 08:26 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 08:17 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 08:05 PM -- -7.5 --
03/02 07:53 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 07:47 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 07:38 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 07:26 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 07:18 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 07:17 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 07:04 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 06:59 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 06:58 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 06:47 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 06:38 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 06:36 PM -- -7.5 --
03/02 06:35 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 06:28 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 06:26 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 06:25 PM -- -8.0 --
03/02 06:18 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 06:17 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 05:59 PM -8.0 -- --
03/02 05:58 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 05:43 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 05:37 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 05:23 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 05:08 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 04:59 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 04:44 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 04:08 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 03:50 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 03:38 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 03:29 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 03:15 PM -- -8.0 --
03/02 03:14 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 03:05 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 02:59 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 02:58 PM -- -- -8.0
03/02 02:55 PM -- -7.5 --
03/02 02:18 PM -- -- -7.5
03/02 02:15 PM -- -7.0 --
03/02 02:08 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:50 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:44 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:38 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:26 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:11 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 01:02 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 12:56 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 12:47 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 12:29 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 12:28 PM -- -- -7.0
03/02 12:11 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 12:08 PM -- -- -7.0
03/02 12:02 PM -7.5 -- --
03/02 11:56 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 11:38 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 11:23 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 11:14 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 11:03 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 10:50 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 10:44 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 10:32 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 10:28 AM -7.5 -- --
03/02 10:18 AM -- -- -7.0
03/02 10:11 AM -7.0 -- --
03/02 10:08 AM -7.0 -- --
03/02 09:56 AM -7.0 -- --
03/02 09:47 AM -7.0 -- --
03/02 09:35 AM -- -7.0 --
03/02 09:29 AM -7.0 -- --
03/02 09:28 AM -- -- -7.0
03/02 09:18 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 09:13 AM -6.5 -- --
03/02 09:07 AM -6.5 -- --
03/02 08:58 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 08:28 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 07:48 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 05:08 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 03:08 AM -- -- -6.5
03/02 01:18 AM -- -- -6.5
03/01 03:48 PM -- -- -6.5
03/01 03:47 PM -6.5 -- --
03/01 03:25 PM -- -6.5 --
03/01 02:08 PM -- -- -7.0