NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIL
Points 115.1 112.7
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 65.3 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 36.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.0
Shooting DEN MIL
Field Goals Made 44.1 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 86.9
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 24.3
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.0%
Ball Control DEN MIL
Rebounds 49.8 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.2
Steals 5.9 5.6
Fouls 16.9 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIL
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 100.7
% of Possessions with DEN MIL
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 30.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.8%
Turnover 9.7% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 21.5%