NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN CHI
Points 116.5 109.1
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 61.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 30.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.9
Shooting DEN CHI
Field Goals Made 43.6 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 89.6
Field Goal % 50.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 60.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 22.6
Free Throw % 76.4% 79.2%
Ball Control DEN CHI
Rebounds 49.8 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.8
Turnovers 11.6 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 5.7 6.6
Fouls 16.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN CHI
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 102.5
% of Possessions with DEN CHI
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 25.4%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.5%
Turnover 11.6% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 25.0%