NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN CHI
Points 116.4 109.4
Total Points   225.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 61.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 30.1
Points From Free Throws 16.2 17.8
Shooting DEN CHI
Field Goals Made 43.6 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 89.8
Field Goal % 50.0% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 60.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 16.2 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 22.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 79.2%
Ball Control DEN CHI
Rebounds 49.8 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.8
Turnovers 11.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.4
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 16.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN CHI
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 102.6
% of Possessions with DEN CHI
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 53.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.4%
Turnover 11.6% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 25.1%