NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN BOS
Points 109.6 114.7
Total Points   224.4
Points From 2-Pointers 60.8 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 43.0
Points From Free Throws 12.4 16.3
Shooting DEN BOS
Field Goals Made 42.6 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 89.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 59.8 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 12.4 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 20.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.1%
Ball Control DEN BOS
Rebounds 50.6 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 12.2
Turnovers 10.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.9
Steals 5.1 5.8
Fouls 14.9 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN BOS
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 101.6
% of Possessions with DEN BOS
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 33.8%
Player Fouled 14.0% 15.1%
Turnover 10.1% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN BOS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 24.6%