NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN LAC
Points 114.0 111.1
Total Points   225.1
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 32.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.3
Shooting DEN LAC
Field Goals Made 43.4 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 86.5
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.5 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.2
Free Throw % 76.8% 83.5%
Ball Control DEN LAC
Rebounds 48.8 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.6
Turnovers 10.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.3
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 16.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN LAC
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 99.7
% of Possessions with DEN LAC
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 26.7%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.6%
Turnover 10.6% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN LAC
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.3%