NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN CHA
Points 118.3 103.2
Total Points   221.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.8 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 32.3
Points From Free Throws 14.6 15.1
Shooting DEN CHA
Field Goals Made 45.7 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 86.6
Field Goal % 51.9% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.2% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.2
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.9%
Ball Control DEN CHA
Rebounds 51.6 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.6 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.0
Turnovers 11.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.9
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 15.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN CHA
Total Possessions 98.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 97.4
% of Possessions with DEN CHA
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.4%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.7%
Turnover 11.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN CHA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 20.2%