NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN UTA
Points 123.5 112.3
Total Points   235.8
Points From 2-Pointers 67.5 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 33.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 20.0
Shooting DEN UTA
Field Goals Made 47.2 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 89.1
Field Goal % 51.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 23.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 83.7%
Ball Control DEN UTA
Rebounds 48.4 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 13.8
Turnovers 10.0 12.4
Blocked Shots 7.1 4.9
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 16.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN UTA
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 102.5
% of Possessions with DEN UTA
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.3%
Turnover 9.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.8%